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A
company has to be good at developing and managing new products. Every
product seems to go through a life cycle—it is born, goes through
several phases, and eventually dies as newer products come along that
better serve consumer needs. This product life cycle presents two major
challenges: First, because all products eventually decline, a firm must
be good at developing new products to replace aging ones (the problem
of new-product development). Second, the firm must be good at
adapting its marketing strategies in the face of changing tastes,
technologies, and competition as products pass through life-cycle
stages (the problem of product life-cycle strategies). We
first look at the problem of finding and developing new products and
then at the problem of managing them successfully over their life
cycles.
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New-Product Development StrategyComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Given
the rapid changes in consumer tastes, technology, and competition,
companies must develop a steady stream of new products and services. A
firm can obtain new products in two ways. One is through acquisition—by buying a whole company, a patent, or a license to produce someone else's product. The other is through new-product development in the company's own research-and-development department. By new products
we mean original products, product improvements, product modifications,
and new brands that the firm develops through its own
research-and-development efforts. In this chapter, we concentrate on
new-product development.
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Innovation
can be very risky. Ford lost $350 million on its Edsel automobile; RCA
lost $580 million on its SelectaVision videodisc player; and Texas
Instruments lost a staggering $660 million before withdrawing from the
home computer business. Even these amounts pale in comparison to the
failure of the $5 billion Iridium global satellite-based wireless
telephone system. Other costly product failures from sophisticated
companies include New Coke (Coca-Cola Company), Eagle Snacks
(Anheuser-Busch), Zap Mail electronic mail (FedEx), Polarvision instant
movies (Polaroid), Premier "smokeless" cigarettes (R.J. Reynolds),
Clorox detergent (Clorox Company), and Arch Deluxe sandwiches
(McDonald's).2
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New
products continue to fail at a disturbing rate. One source estimates
that new consumer packaged goods (consisting mostly of line extensions)
fail at a rate of 80 percent. Another study suggested that of the
staggering 25,000 new consumer food, beverage, beauty, and health care
products to hit the market each year, only 40 percent will be around
five years later. Moreover, failure rates for new industrial products
may be as high as 30 percent. Still another estimates new-product
failures to be as high as 95 percent.3
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Why
do so many new products fail? There are several reasons. Although an
idea may be good, the market size may have been overestimated. Perhaps
the actual product was not designed as well as it should have been. Or
maybe it was incorrectly positioned in the market, priced too high, or
advertised poorly. A high-level executive might push a favorite idea
despite poor marketing research findings. Sometimes the costs of
product development are higher than expected, and sometimes competitors
fight back harder than expected.
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Because
so many new products fail, companies are anxious to learn how to
improve their odds of new-product success. One way is to identify
successful new products and find out what they have in common. Another
is to study new-product failures to see what lessons can be learned. In
all, to create successful new products, a company must understand its
consumers, markets, and competitors and develop products that deliver
superior value to customers.
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So
companies face a problem—they must develop new products, but the odds
weigh heavily against success. The solution lies in strong new-product
planning and in setting up a systematic new-product development process for finding and growing new products. Figure 10.1 shows the eight major steps in this process.
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Idea GenerationComments by Dr. Laukamm
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New-product development starts with idea generation—the
systematic search for new-product ideas. A company typically has to
generate many ideas in order to find a few good ones. According to one
well-known management consultant, "For every 1,000 ideas, only 100 will
have enough commercial promise to merit a small-scale experiment, only
10 of those will warrant substantial financial commitment, and of
those, only a couple will turn out to be unqualified successes." His
conclusion? "If you want to find a few ideas with the power to enthrall
customers, foil competitors, and thrill investors, you must first
generate hundreds and potentially thousands of unconventional strategic
ideas."4
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Major
sources of new-product ideas include internal sources and external
sources such as customers, competitors, distributors and suppliers, and
others.
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Internal Idea SourcesComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Using internal sources,
the company can find new ideas through formal research and development.
It can pick the brains of its executives, scientists, engineers,
manufacturing staff, and salespeople. Some companies have developed
successful "intrapreneurial" programs that encourage employees to think
up and develop new-product ideas. For example, 3M's well-known "15
percent rule" allows employees to spend 15 percent of their time
"bootlegging"—working on projects of personal interest, whether those
projects directly benefit the company or not. The spectacularly
successful Post-it notes evolved out of this program. Similarly, Texas
Instruments's IDEA program provides funds for employees who pursue
their own ideas. Among the successful new products to come out of the
IDEA program was TI's Speak 'n' Spell, the first children's toy to
contain a microchip. Many other speaking toys followed, ultimately
generating several hundred million dollars for TI.5
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External Idea SourcesComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Good new-product ideas also come from watching and listening to customers.
The company can analyze customer questions and complaints to find new
products that better solve consumer problems. Company engineers or
salespeople can meet with and work alongside customers to get
suggestions and ideas. The company can conduct surveys or focus groups
to learn about consumer needs and wants.
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Heinz
did just that when its researchers approached children, who consume
more than half of the ketchup sold, to find out what would make ketchup
more appealing to them. "When we asked them what would make the product
more fun," says a Heinz spokesperson, "changing the color was among the
top responses." So, Heinz developed and launched EZ Squirt, green
ketchup that comes in a soft, squeezable bottle targeted at kids. The
new product was a smash hit, so Heinz followed up with an entire
rainbow of EZ Squirt colors, including Funky Purple, Passion Pink,
Awesome Orange, and Totally Teal. The EZ Squirt bottle's special nozzle
also emits a thin ketchup stream, "so tykes can autograph their burgers
(or squirt someone across the table, though Heinz neglects to mention
that)."6
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Consumers
often create new products and uses on their own, and companies can
benefit by finding these products and putting them on the market. For
example, Avon capitalized on new uses discovered by consumers for its
Skin-So-Soft bath oil and moisturizer. For years, customers have been
spreading the word that Skin-So-Soft bath oil is also a terrific bug
repellent. Whereas some consumers were content simply to bathe in water
scented with the fragrant oil, others carried it in their backpacks to
mosquito-infested campsites or kept a bottle on the deck of their beach
houses. Now, Avon offers a complete line of Skin-So-Soft Bug Guard
products, including Bug Guard Mosquito Repellant Moisturizing
Towelettes and Bug Guard Plus, a combination moisturizer, insect
repellent, and sunscreen.7
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Finally, some companies even give customers the tools and resources to design their own products.
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Many companies have abandoned their efforts to figure out exactly what products their customers want. Instead, they have equip customers with tools that let them design their own products. The user-friendly tools employ new technologies like computer simulation and rapid prototyping to make product development faster and less expensive. For example, Bush Boake Allen (BBA), a global supplier of specialty flavors to companies like Nestle, provides a tool kit that enables its customers to develop their own flavors, which BBA then manufactures. Similarly, GE Plastics gives customers access to company data sheets, engineering expertise, simulation software, and other Web-based tools for designing better plastics products. Companies like LSI Logic and VLSI Technology provide customers with do-it-yourself tools that let them design their own specialized chips and customized integrated circuits. Using customers as innovators has become a hot new way to create value.8 Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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Companies
must be careful not to rely too heavily on customer input when
developing new products. For some products, especially highly technical
ones, customers may not know what they need. In such cases, "customers
should not be trusted to come up with solutions; they aren't expert or
informed enough for that part of the innovation process," says the head
of an innovation management consultancy. "That's what your R&D team
is for. Rather, customers should be asked only for outcomes—that is,
what they want a product or service to do for them."9
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Competitors
are another good source of new-product ideas. Companies watch
competitors' ads and other communications to get clues about their new
products. They buy competing new products, take them apart to see how
they work, analyze their sales, and decide whether they should bring
out a new product of their own. Distributors and suppliers
can also contribute many good new-product ideas. Resellers are close to
the market and can pass along information about consumer problems and
new-product possibilities. Suppliers can tell the company about new
concepts, techniques, and materials that can be used to develop new
products. Other idea sources include trade magazines, shows, and
seminars; government agencies; new-product consultants; advertising
agencies; marketing research firms; university and commercial
laboratories; and inventors.
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The
search for new-product ideas should be systematic rather than
haphazard. Otherwise, few new ideas will surface and many good ideas
will sputter and die. Top management can avoid these problems by
installing an idea management system that directs the flow of
new ideas to a central point where they can be collected, reviewed, and
evaluated. In setting up such a system, the company can do any or all
of the following:10
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The
idea manager approach yields two favorable outcomes. First, it helps
create an innovation-oriented company culture. It shows that top
management supports, encourages, and rewards innovation. Second, it
will yield a larger number of ideas, among which will be found some
especially good ones. As the system matures, ideas will flow more
freely. No longer will good ideas wither for the lack of a sounding
board or a senior product advocate.
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Idea ScreeningComments by Dr. Laukamm
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The purpose of idea generation is to create a large number of ideas. The purpose of the succeeding stages is to reduce that number. The first idea-reducing stage is idea screening,
which helps spot good ideas and drop poor ones as soon as possible.
Product development costs rise greatly in later stages, so the company
wants to go ahead only with the product ideas that will turn into
profitable products. As one marketing executive suggests, "Three
executives sitting in a room can get 40 good ideas ricocheting off the
wall in minutes. The challenge is getting a steady stream of good ideas
out of the labs and creativity campfires, through marketing and
manufacturing, and all the way to consumers."11
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Many
companies require their executives to write up new-product ideas on a
standard form that can be reviewed by a new-product committee. The
write-up describes the product, the target market, and the competition.
It makes some rough estimates of market size, product price,
development time and costs, manufacturing costs, and rate of return.
The committee then evaluates the idea against a set of general
criteria. For example, at Kao Company, the large Japanese
consumer-products company, the committee asks questions such as these:
Is the product truly useful to consumers and society? Is it good for
our particular company? Does it mesh well with the company's objectives
and strategies? Do we have the people, skills, and resources to make it
succeed? Does it deliver more value to customers than do competing
products? Is it easy to advertise and distribute? Many companies have
well-designed systems for rating and screening new-product ideas.
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Concept Development and TestingComments by Dr. Laukamm
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An attractive idea must be developed into a product concept. It is important to distinguish between a product idea, a product concept, and a product image. A product idea is an idea for a possible product that the company can see itself offering to the market. A product concept is a detailed version of the idea stated in meaningful consumer terms. A product image is the way consumers perceive an actual or potential product.
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Concept DevelopmentComments by Dr. Laukamm
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DaimlerChrysler
is getting ready to commercialize its experimental fuel-cell-powered
electric car. This car's nonpolluting fuel-cell system runs directly on
methanol, which delivers hydrogen to the fuel cell with only water as a
by-product. It is highly fuel efficient (75 percent more efficient than
gasoline engines) and gives the new car an environmental advantage over
standard internal combustion engine cars or even today's superefficient
gasoline-electric hybrid cars.
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DaimlerChrysler
is currently road-testing its NECAR 5 (New Electric Car) subcompact
prototype and plans to deliver the first fuel-cell cars to customers in
2004. Based on the tiny Mercedes A-Class, the car accelerates quickly,
reaches speeds of 90 miles per hour, and has a 280-mile driving range,
giving it a huge edge over battery-powered electric cars that travel
only about 80 miles before needing 3 to 12 hours of recharging.12
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DaimlerChrysler's
task is to develop this new product into alternative product concepts,
find out how attractive each concept is to customers, and choose the
best one. It might create the following product concepts for the
fuel-cell electric car:
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Concept TestingComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Concept testing
calls for testing new-product concepts with groups of target consumers.
The concepts may be presented to consumers symbolically or physically.
Here, in words, is concept 3:
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An
efficient, fun-to-drive, fuel-cell-powered electric subcompact car that
seats four. This methanol-powered high-tech wonder provides practical
and reliable transportation with virtually no pollution. It goes up to
90 miles per hour and, unlike battery-powered electric cars, it never
needs recharging. It's priced, fully equipped, at $20,000. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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For
some concept tests, a word or picture description might be sufficient.
However, a more concrete and physical presentation of the concept will
increase the reliability of the concept test. Today, some marketers are
finding innovative ways to make product concepts more real to consumer
subjects. For example, some are using virtual reality to test product
concepts. Virtual reality programs use computers and sensory devices
(such as gloves or goggles) to simulate reality. A designer of kitchen
cabinets can use a virtual reality program to help a customer "see" how
his or her kitchen would look and work if remodeled with the company's
products. Hairdressers have used virtual reality for years to show
consumers how they might look with a new style. Although virtual
reality is still in its infancy, its applications are increasing daily.13
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After
being exposed to the concept, consumers then may be asked to react to
it by answering questions such as those in Table 10.1. The answers will
help the company decide which concept has the strongest appeal. For
example, the last question asks about the consumer's intention to buy.
Suppose 10 percent of the consumers said they "definitely" would buy
and another 5 percent said "probably." The company could project these
figures to the full population in this target group to estimate sales
volume. Even then, the estimate is uncertain because people do not
always carry out their stated intentions.
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Many
firms routinely test new-product concepts with consumers before
attempting to turn them into actual new products. For example, each
month Richard Saunders Inc.'s Acu-Poll research system tests 35
new-product concepts in person on 100 nationally representative grocery
store shoppers, rating them as "Pure Gold" or "Fool's Gold" concepts.
In past polls, Nabisco's Oreo Chocolate Cones concept received a rare
A1 rating, meaning that consumers think it is an outstanding concept
that they would try and buy. Glad Ovenware, Reach Whitening Tape dental
floss, and Lender's Bake at Home Bagels were also big hits. Other
product concepts didn't fare so well. Nubrush Anti-Bacterial Toothbrush
Spray disinfectant, from Applied Microdontics, received an F. Consumers
found Nubrush to be overpriced, and most don't think they have a
problem with "infected" toothbrushes. Nor did consumers think much of
Excedrin Tension Headache Cooling Pads or Moist Mates premoistened
toilet tissues. Another concept that fared poorly was Chef Williams 5
Minute Marinade, which comes with a syringe customers use to inject the
marinade into meats. "I can't see that on grocery shelves," comments an
Acu-Poll executive. Some consumers might find the thought of injecting
something into meat a bit repulsive, and "it's just so politically
incorrect to have this syringe on there."14
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Marketing Strategy DevelopmentComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Suppose DaimlerChrysler finds that concept 3 for the fuel-cell-powered electric car tests best. The next step is marketing strategy development, designing an initial marketing strategy for introducing this car to the market.
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The marketing strategy statement
consists of three parts. The first part describes the target market;
the planned product positioning; and the sales, market share, and
profit goals for the first few years. Thus:
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The
target market is younger, well-educated, moderate-to-high-income
individuals, couples, or small families seeking practical,
environmentally responsible transportation. The car will be positioned
as more economical to operate, more fun to drive, and less polluting
than today's internal combustion engine or hybrid cars, and as less
restricting than battery-powered electric cars, which must be recharged
regularly. The company will aim to sell 100,000 cars in the first year,
at a loss of not more than $15 million. In the second year, the company
will aim for sales of 120,000 cars and a profit of $25 million. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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The
second part of the marketing strategy statement outlines the product's
planned price, distribution, and marketing budget for the first year:
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The
fuel-cell-powered electric car will be offered in three colors—red,
white, and blue—and will have optional air-conditioning and power-drive
features. It will sell at a retail price of $20,000—with 15 percent off
the list price to dealers. Dealers who sell more than 10 cars per month
will get an additional discount of 5 percent on each car sold that
month. An advertising budget of $30 million will be split 50-50 between
national and local advertising. Advertising will emphasize the car's
fun spirit and low emissions. During the first year, $100,000 will be
spent on marketing research to find out who is buying the car and their
satisfaction levels. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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The
third part of the marketing strategy statement describes the planned
long-run sales, profit goals, and marketing mix strategy:
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DaimlerChrysler
intends to capture a 3 percent long-run share of the total auto market
and realize an after-tax return on investment of 15 percent. To achieve
this, product quality will start high and be improved over time. Price
will be raised in the second and third years if competition permits.
The total advertising budget will be raised each year by about 10
percent. Marketing research will be reduced to $60,000 per year after
the first year. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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Business AnalysisComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Once
management has decided on its product concept and marketing strategy,
it can evaluate the business attractiveness of the proposal. Business analysis
involves a review of the sales, costs, and profit projections for a new
product to find out whether they satisfy the company's objectives. If
they do, the product can move to the product development stage.
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To
estimate sales, the company might look at the sales history of similar
products and conduct surveys of market opinion. It can then estimate
minimum and maximum sales to assess the range of risk. After preparing
the sales forecast, management can estimate the expected costs and
profits for the product, including marketing, R&D, operations,
accounting, and finance costs. The company then uses the sales and
costs figures to analyze the new product's financial attractiveness.
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Product DevelopmentComments by Dr. Laukamm
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So
far, for many new-product concepts, the product may have existed only
as a word description, a drawing, or perhaps a crude mock-up. If the
product concept passes the business test, it moves into product development.
Here, R&D or engineering develops the product concept into a
physical product. The product development step, however, now calls for
a large jump in investment. It will show whether the product idea can
be turned into a workable product.
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The
R&D department will develop and test one or more physical versions
of the product concept. R&D hopes to design a prototype that will
satisfy and excite consumers and that can be produced quickly and at
budgeted costs. Developing a successful prototype can take days, weeks,
months, or even years. Often, products undergo rigorous tests to make
sure that they perform safely and effectively, or that consumers will
find value in them. Here are some examples of such product tests:15
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A scuba-diving Barbie doll must swim and kick for 15 straight hours to satisfy Mattel that she will last at least one year. But because Barbie may find her feet in small owners' mouths rather than in the bathtub, Mattel has devised another, more torturous test: Barbie's feet are clamped by two steel jaws to make sure that her skin doesn't crack—and choke potential owners. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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At Shaw Industries, temps are paid five dollars an hour to pace up and down five long rows of sample carpets for up to eight hours a day, logging an average of 14 miles each. One regular reads three mysteries a week while pacing and shed 40 pounds in two years. Shaw Industries counts walkers' steps and figures that 20,000 steps equal several years of average carpet wear. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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P&G spends $150 million on 4,000 to 5,000 studies a year, testing everything from the ergonomics of picking up a shampoo bottle to how long women can keep their hands in sudsy water. On any given day, subjects meet in focus groups, sell their dirty laundry to researchers, put prototype diapers on their babies' bottoms, and rub mysterious creams on their faces. Last year, one elementary school raised $17,000 by having students and parents take part in P&G product tests. Students tested toothpaste and shampoo and ate brownies, while their mothers watched advertising for Tempo tissue, P&G's paper wipes packaged to fit in a car. This year, P&G is paying the school to have 48 students and parents wear new sneakers that they hand in every month for six months. Half the shoes return cleaned. No one knows what P&G is testing, and the company won't say. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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At Gillette, almost everyone gets involved in new-product testing. Every working day at Gillette, 200 volunteers from various departments come to work unshaven, troop to the second floor of the company's gritty South Boston plant, and enter small booths with a sink and mirror. There they take instructions from technicians on the other side of a small window as to which razor, shaving cream, or aftershave to use. The volunteers evaluate razors for sharpness of blade, smoothness of glide, and ease of handling. In a nearby shower room, women perform the same ritual on their legs, underarms, and what the company delicately refers to as the "bikini area." "We bleed so you'll get a good shave at home," says one Gillette employee. Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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The
prototype must have the required functional features and also convey
the intended psychological characteristics. The fuel-cell electric car,
for example, should strike consumers as being well built, comfortable,
and safe. Management must learn what makes consumers decide that a car
is well built. To some consumers, this means that the car has
"solid-sounding" doors. To others, it means that the car is able to
withstand heavy impact in crash tests. Consumer tests are conducted in
which consumers test-drive the car and rate its attributes.
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Test MarketingComments by Dr. Laukamm
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If the product passes functional and consumer tests, the next step is test marketing,
the stage at which the product and marketing program are introduced
into more-realistic market settings. Test marketing gives the marketer
experience with marketing the product before going to the great expense
of full introduction. It lets the company test the product and its
entire marketing program—positioning strategy, advertising,
distribution, pricing, branding and packaging, and budget levels.
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The
amount of test marketing needed varies with each new product.
Test-marketing costs can be high, and it takes time that may allow
competitors to gain advantages. When the costs of developing and
introducing the product are low, or when management is already
confident about the new product, the company may do little or no test
marketing. In fact, test marketing by consumer package-goods firms has
been declining in recent years. Companies often do not test-market
simple line extensions or copies of successful competitor products. For
example, Procter & Gamble introduced its Folger's decaffeinated
coffee crystals without test marketing, and Pillsbury rolled out Chewy
granola bars and chocolate-covered Granola Dipps with no standard test
market.
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However,
when introducing a new product requires a big investment, or when
management is not sure of the product or marketing program, a company
may do a lot of test marketing. For instance, Lever USA spent two years
testing its highly successful Lever 2000 bar soap in Atlanta before
introducing it internationally. Frito-Lay did 18 months of testing in
three markets on at least five formulations before introducing its
Baked Lays line of low-fat snacks. And both Procter & Gamble and
Unilever spent many months testing their new Juvian and MyHome valet
laundry and home fabric care services.16
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Although
test-marketing costs can be high, they are often small when compared
with the costs of making a major mistake. For example, McDonald's made
a costly mistake when it introduced its low-fat burger, the McLean
Deluxe, nationally without the chain's normal and lengthy testing
process. The new product failed after a big investment but lean
results. And Nabisco's launch of one new product without testing had
disastrous—and soggy—results:
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Nabisco hit a marketing home run with its Teddy Grahams, teddy-bear-shaped graham crackers in several different flavors. So, the company decided to extend Teddy Grahams into a new area. In 1989, it introduced chocolate, cinnamon, and honey versions of Breakfast Bears Graham Cereal. When the product came out, however, consumers didn't like the taste enough, so the product developers went back to the kitchen and modified the formula. But they didn't test it. The result was a disaster. Although the cereal may have tasted better, it no longer stayed crunchy in milk, as the advertising on the box promised. Instead, it left a gooey mess of graham mush on the bottom of cereal bowls. Supermarket managers soon refused to restock the cereal, and Nabisco executives decided it was too late to reformulate the product again. So a promising new product was killed through haste to get it to market.17 Comments by Dr. Laukamm
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Still,
test marketing doesn't guarantee success. For example, Procter &
Gamble tested its new Fit produce rinse for heavily for five years and
Olay cosmetics for three years. Although market tests suggested the
products would be successful, P&G had to pull the plug on both
shortly after their introductions.18
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When
using test marketing, consumer products companies usually choose one of
three approaches—standard test markets, controlled test markets, or
simulated test markets.
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Standard Test MarketsComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Using
standard test markets, the company finds a small number of
representative test cities, conducts a full marketing campaign in these
cities, and uses store audits, consumer and distributor surveys, and
other measures to gauge product performance. The results are used to
forecast national sales and profits, discover potential product
problems, and fine-tune the marketing program.
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Standard
test markets have some drawbacks. They can be very costly and they may
take a long time—some last as long as three to five years. Moreover,
competitors can monitor test-market results or even interfere with them
by cutting their prices in test cities, increasing their promotion, or
even buying up the product being tested. Finally, test markets give
competitors a look at the company's new product well before it is
introduced nationally. Thus, competitors may have time to develop
defensive strategies, and may even beat the company's product to the
market. For example, while Clorox was still test-marketing its new
detergent with bleach in selected markets, P&G launched Tide with
Bleach nationally. Tide with Bleach quickly became the segment leader;
Clorox later withdrew its detergent.
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Despite
these disadvantages, standard test markets are still the most widely
used approach for major in-market testing. However, many companies
today are shifting toward quicker and cheaper controlled and simulated
test-marketing methods.
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Controlled Test MarketsComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Several
research firms keep controlled panels of stores that have agreed to
carry new products for a fee. Controlled test marketing systems like
ACNielsen's Scantrack and Information Resources Inc.'s (IRI)
BehaviorScan track individual behavior from the television set to the
checkout counter.
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In
each BehaviorScan market, IRI maintains a panel of shoppers who report
all of their purchases by showing an identification card at check-out
in participating stores and by using a handheld scanner at home to
record purchases at non-participating stores.19
Within test stores, IRI controls such factors as shelf placement,
price, and in-store promotions for the product being tested. IRI also
measures TV viewing in each panel household and sends special
commercials to panel member television sets. Direct mail promotions can
also be tested.
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Detailed
scanner information on each consumer's purchases is fed into a central
computer, where it is combined with the consumer's demographic and TV
viewing information and reported daily. Thus, BehaviorScan can provide
store-by-store, week-by-week reports on the sales of tested products.
Such panel purchasing data enables in-depth diagnostics not possible
with retail point-of-sale data alone, including repeat purchase
analysis, buyer demographics, and earlier, more accurate sales
forecasts after just 12 to 24 weeks in market. Most importantly, the
system allows companies to evaluate their specific marketing efforts.
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Controlled
test markets, such as Behaviorscan, usually cost less than standard
test markets. Also, because retail distribution is "forced" in the
first week of the test, controlled test markets can be completed much
more quickly than standard test markets. As in standard test markets,
controlled test markets allow competitors to get a look at the
company's new product. And some companies are concerned that the
limited number of controlled test markets used by the research services
may not be representative of their products' markets or target
consumers. However, the research firms are experienced in projecting
test market results to broader markets and can usually account for
biases in the test markets used.
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Simulated Test MarketsComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Companies
can also test new products in a simulated shopping environment. The
company or research firm shows ads and promotions for a variety of
products, including the new product being tested, to a sample of
consumers. It gives consumers a small amount of money and invites them
to a real or laboratory store where they may keep the money or use it
to buy items. The researchers note how many consumers buy the new
product and competing brands.
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This
simulation provides a measure of trial and the commercial's
effectiveness against competing commercials. The researchers then ask
consumers the reasons for their purchase or nonpurchase. Some weeks
later, they interview the consumers by phone to determine product
attitudes, usage, satisfaction, and repurchase intentions. Using
sophisticated computer models, the researchers then project national
sales from results of the simulated test market. Recently, some
marketers have begun to use interesting new high-tech approaches to
simulated-test-market research, such as virtual reality and the
Internet.
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Simulated
test markets overcome some of the disadvantages of standard and
controlled test markets. They usually cost much less, can be run in
eight weeks, and keep the new product out of competitors' view. Yet,
because of their small samples and simulated shopping environments,
many marketers do not think that simulated test markets are as accurate
or reliable as larger, real-world tests. Still, simulated test markets
are used widely, often as "pretest" markets. Because they are fast and
inexpensive, they can be run to quickly assess a new product or its
marketing program. If the pretest results are strongly positive, the
product might be introduced without further testing. If the results are
very poor, the product might be dropped or substantially redesigned and
retested. If the results are promising but indefinite, the product and
marketing program can be tested further in controlled or standard test
markets.
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CommercializationComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Test
marketing gives management the information needed to make a final
decision about whether to launch the new product. If the company goes
ahead with commercialization—introducing
the new product into the market—it will face high costs. The company
will have to build or rent a manufacturing facility. And it may have to
spend, in the case of a new consumer packaged good, between $10 million
and $200 million for advertising, sales promotion, and other marketing
efforts in the first year.
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The company launching a new product must first decide on introduction timing.
If DaimlerChrysler's new fuel-cell electric car will eat into the sales
of the company's other cars, its introduction may be delayed. If the
car can be improved further, or if the economy is down, the company may
wait until the following year to launch it.
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Next, the company must decide where
to launch the new product—in a single location, a region, the national
market, or the international market. Few companies have the confidence,
capital, and capacity to launch new products into full national or
international distribution. They will develop a planned market rollout
over time. In particular, small companies may enter attractive cities
or regions one at a time. Larger companies, however, may quickly
introduce new models into several regions or into the full national
market.
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Companies
with international distribution systems may introduce new products
through global rollouts. Colgate-Palmolive used to follow a
"lead-country" strategy. For example, it launched its Palmolive Optims
shampoo and conditioner first in Australia, the Philippines, Hong Kong,
and Mexico, then rapidly rolled it out into Europe, Asia, Latin
America, and Africa. However, most international companies now
introduce their new products in swift global assaults. Recently, in its
fastest new-product rollout ever, Colgate introduced its Actibrush
battery-powered toothbrush into 50 countries in a year, generating $115
million in sales. Such rapid worldwide expansion solidified the brand's
market position before foreign competitors could react.20
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Organizing for New-Product DevelopmentComments by Dr. Laukamm
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Many
companies organize their new-product development process into the
orderly sequence of steps shown in Figure 10.1, starting with idea
generation and ending with commercialization. Under this sequential product development
approach, one company department works individually to complete its
stage of the process before passing the new product along to the next
department and stage. This orderly, step-by-step process can help bring
control to complex and risky projects. But it also can be dangerously
slow. In fast-changing, highly competitive markets, such slow-but-sure
product development can result in product failures, lost sales and
profits, and crumbling market positions. "Speed to market" and reducing
new-product development cycle time have become pressing concerns to
companies in all industries.
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In order to get their new products to market more quickly, many companies are adopting a faster, team-oriented approach called simultaneous product development
(or teamed-based or collaborative product development). Under this
approach, company departments work closely together through
cross-functional teams, overlapping the steps in the product
development process to save time and increase effectiveness. Instead of
passing the new product from department to department, the company
assembles a team of people from various departments that stays with the
new product from start to finish. Such teams usually include people
from the marketing, finance, design, manufacturing, and legal
departments, and even supplier and customer companies.
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Top
management gives the product development team general strategic
direction but no clear-cut product idea or work plan. It challenges the
team with stiff and seemingly contradictory goals—"turn out carefully
planned and superior new products, but do it quickly"—and then gives
the team whatever freedom and resources it needs to meet the challenge.
In the sequential process, a bottleneck at one phase can seriously slow
the entire project. In the simultaneous approach, if one functional
area hits snags, it works to resolve them while the team moves on.
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The
Allen-Bradley Company, a maker of industrial controls, realized
tremendous benefits by using simultaneous development. Under its old
sequential approach, the company's marketing department handed off a
new-product idea to designers, who worked in isolation to prepare
concepts that they then passed along to product engineers. The
engineers, also working by themselves, developed expensive prototypes
and handed them off to manufacturing, which tried to find a way to
build the new product. Finally, after many years and dozens of costly
design compromises and delays, marketing was asked to sell the new
product, which it often found to be too high-priced or sadly out of
date. Now, all of Allen-Bradley's departments work together to develop
new products. The results have been astonishing. For example, the
company recently developed a new electrical control in just two years;
under the old system, it would have taken six years.
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The
simultaneous team-based approach does have some limitations. Superfast
product development can be riskier and more costly than the slower,
more orderly sequential approach. Moreover, it often creates increased
organizational tension and confusion. And the company must take care
that rushing a product to market doesn't adversely affect its
quality—the objective is not only to create products faster, but to
create them better and faster.
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Despite
these drawbacks, in rapidly changing industries facing increasingly
shorter product life cycles, the rewards of fast and flexible product
development far exceed the risks. Companies that get new and improved
products to the market faster than competitors often gain a dramatic
competitive edge. They can respond more quickly to emerging consumer
tastes and charge higher prices for more-advanced designs. As one auto
industry executive states, "What we want to do is get the new car
approved, built, and in the consumer's hands in the shortest time
possible. . . . Whoever gets there first gets all the marbles."21
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Thus,
new-product success requires more than simply thinking up a few good
ideas, turning them into products, and finding customers for them. It
requires a systematic approach for finding new ways to create value for
target consumers, from generating and screening new-product ideas to
creating and rolling out want-satisfying products to customers. More
than this, successful new-product development requires a total-company
commitment. At companies known for their new-product prowess—such as
3M, Gillette, and Intel—the entire culture encourages, supports, and
rewards innovation.
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